Global markets surged on Wednesday, driven by SOTU relief that alleviated tariff fears, reversing a 48-hour sell-off. Bitcoin notably snapped its downtrend, rebounding above $69,000 from below $63,000.
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🧠 Institutional Insight

🐋 Whales
Whales are accumulating on the dip, signaling conviction in macro relief and BTC's resilience.
🎯 Impact
Broad equity rally led by cyclicals; crypto assets, especially BTC, gain significant upside momentum; fixed income stable; risk-on FX strengthens.
⏳ Context
This event signals a temporary de-escalation of trade tensions, supporting a risk-on environment within a generally high-volatility, policy-driven macro landscape.

⚖️ Market Scenarios

⚡ AI Market Deja Vu
Past Event: Trump-era trade war pauses/deal announcements (e.g., US-China 'Phase One' deal anticipation).
Reaction: Equities rallied broadly, particularly tech; Bitcoin surged; Treasuries yields rose; DXY weakened.
🟢 Bulls Say
SOTU relief confirms resilient economic sentiment and geopolitical stability, clearing path for sustained BTC upside and broader market gains.
🔴 Bears Say
This is a dead cat bounce; underlying tariff risks persist, making this relief rally fleeting before deeper corrections.