US equity futures dip ahead of the highly anticipated State of the Union, tempering pre-market optimism. All eyes are now fixed on Nvidia's pivotal earnings report later today.
⚡ View Full Quant Analysis →

🧠 Institutional Insight

🐋 Whales
Whales de-risking pre-SOTU, accumulating NVDA calls for potential post-earnings surge.
🎯 Impact
Nasdaq futures (NQ) face extreme volatility post-NVDA. VIX likely to rise pre-SOTU. Treasury yields watch policy cues.
⏳ Context
This market juncture balances AI-driven tech optimism against persistent inflation and escalating geopolitical uncertainties.

⚖️ Market Scenarios

⚡ AI Market Deja Vu
Past Event: Q4 2018 pre-earnings tech volatility combined with political uncertainty.
Reaction: Equities saw initial volatility, followed by sharp moves based on earnings surprises or policy clarity.
🟢 Bulls Say
Nvidia will confirm robust AI demand, driving broader tech market higher and overshadowing SOTU noise.
🔴 Bears Say
Nvidia's sky-high valuation faces a reality check, compounded by potential SOTU rhetoric on regulation or spending.